The challengers trying to derail Donald Trump’s march to the Republican presidential nomination detailed sharply different paths to a victory in California’s June primary as they made their pitches before state GOP delegates facing the unusual prospect of an election that matters.
Ohio Gov. John Kasich raised the banner of electability, insisting Friday that despite his long string of defeats, November voters in California and elsewhere would come to him in an electoral epiphany.
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz offered a pitch — involving the Delta smelt — tailored specifically for the Central Valley, where he hopes to amass enough delegates to deny Donald Trump the nomination, tossing the decision to the summer national convention.
Trump’s argument was by far the more clear cut. As if he were the political reincarnation of the late Oakland Raiders owner Al “Just win, baby” Davis, Trump insisted that the point was a November victory — and that his campaign has proven he’s a winner.
His speech at the three-day state GOP convention had almost nothing at all to do with California. But he pressed repeatedly Friday on the notion that his nomination is inevitable and that the party’s chances in November depend on unifying in support of him.
The convention seemed to lean toward Trump’s inevitability; no giant groundswell rose on behalf of Cruz, despite his red-meat speech that touched on the environment, immigration and the Second Amendment, or Kasich’s more laid-back approach.
Applause soared, however, at mentions by all three candidates of the need to defeat Hillary Clinton, the likely Democratic nominee. Each made the argument that he would best accomplish that goal, but Trump’s giant delegate lead and the fact that polls suggest he’s likely to grab the majority of the 172 delegates at stake here on June 7 have dampened expectations for the other two.
A USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll taken last month had the New York businessman ahead of Cruz by 7 points, despite the months of organizing Cruz’s campaign has put into the state. The poll was taken before Trump asserted command of the Republican race, however, and the immediate demand for Cruz and Kasich this weekend was to somehow overcome the notion that it’s time for Republicans to rally around him.
In his Saturday speech, Cruz called on all Republican voters to join him, but his geographic target was obvious. Almost all Republican delegates here will be awarded by congressional district. Cruz hopes to pick off enough of them to deny Trump, in combination with anti-Trump efforts in other states, the 1,237 delegates needed to grasp the nomination before the convention.
Hoping for chaos
Cruz and Kasich are mathematically unable to win the nomination outright themselves; their only hope is a chaotic convention floor fight.
The USC Dornsife/ Los Angeles Times poll showed the Central Valley to be prime territory for Cruz. He won 44 percent of the vote there, the only one of six geographic areas in the state not won by Trump.
Cruz’s remarks were heavy with disdain for environmental rules that have denied water to California farmers in that area to protect endangered fish, such as the Delta smelt. Since 2008, he said, 1.4 trillion gallons of fresh water has been diverted away from farmers “because of a little three-inch bait fish,” he said. “In my experience, three-inch fish go great with cheese and crackers.”
He suggested that it would be a “win-win” to send water to Central Valley farms while breeding the Delta smelt in fish farms.
“You take the little fish. You put up a disco ball, you play some Barry White and you let nature take its course,” he said, in a remark that drew raised eyebrows and laughter.
Cruz was fiercely critical of Trump’s foreign policy, and specifically of remarks the New Yorker has made about his intention to be an independent force in negotiations between Israel and Islamic countries. The comments, he said, raised questions about Trump’s “fitness and judgment.”
He declined to cede ground on border issues to Trump, displaying his new endorser, former California Gov. Pete Wilson, whose backing of an anti-illegal immigration measure in 1994 has proven destructive to the Republican Party here.
Lost opportunity
Neither Trump nor Kasich offered much in the way of California specifics. It was a lost opportunity for Kasich, who is far behind both Trump and Cruz in delegate accumulation.
He went through his standard pleas for voters to reward a candidate who has chosen “not to live on the dark side of human nature” and said America should not fall for “pie in the sky and unrealistic dreams.”
While he maintained a sense of optimism, he acknowledged during a prespeech meeting with reporters that his odds are long. “I didn’t fall off a turnip truck on my way to California,” he said. “I know it’s tough.”
“It isn’t working out right now, but you look at the national polls — when everybody gets to vote it’s a different story,” he said, alluding to the fact that polls show he alone among the Republicans would defeat Clinton in November.
But the argument by Cruz and Kasich that they should be handed the nomination at the convention after losing most of the primaries and caucuses to Trump is a difficult sell. As the front-runner said Friday: “Give me a break.”
All three candidates also pledged to campaign seriously in this determinedly Democratic California in the fall — promises that are likely to be broken after June 7.
