WASHINGTON — Americans’ paychecks rose in December at the fastest pace in more than seven years as steady hiring and low unemployment led some businesses to pay more to attract and keep workers.
Employers added 156,000 jobs, a decent total that shows that moderate hiring remains sustainable 7 1/2 years after the recovery from the Great Recession began. The report provided the last major snapshot of the economy President-elect Donald Trump will inherit from President Barack Obama.
The figures also reflect the job market’s vast improvement from the deep layoffs and surging unemployment rate that prevailed when Obama took office in January 2009. Last month, the jobless rate was just 4.7 percent, up from a nine-year low of 4.6 percent in November, but far below the painful 10 percent peak of October 2009. Employers have added jobs for 75 straight months — the longest streak on record.
Even so, the job market remains a mixed picture. Hiring slowed last year, with the economy adding 2.2 million jobs, the smallest full-year gain since 2012. Job growth averaged 180,000 a month — enough to lower the unemployment rate over time — but down from 229,000 in 2015.
And many people, particularly men without a college education, have suffered as the job market has shifted away from blue-collar work in manufacturing and mining toward industries that either require higher skills, like information technology, or that pay less, such as health care. The proportion of men in their prime working years who either have a job or are looking for one has continued to drop.
In addition, the number of part-time workers who would prefer full-time work, while declining, remains well above its pre-recession level.
Those weak spots will likely challenge Trump as much as they did his predecessor.
“More people are back at work than at any point since the recession,” noted Jed Kolko, chief economist at the job site Indeed. “However, Trump will inherit an economy that’s riding high but faces long-term challenges. Fewer adults are at work than before the recession, manufacturing is lagging despite an uptick in December and the acceleration in wage growth, while great for workers, could raise inflation fears.”
Hourly pay jumped 2.9 percent from a year earlier, a welcome change from the sluggish wage growth that has been a long-standing weak spot in the economic recovery.
Many companies will likely raise prices to offset the cost of raises, which in turn would lift inflation. If inflation accelerates, the Federal Reserve may raise short-term interest rates at a faster pace this year.
“Pay raises, while good for workers, represent cost increases for firms,” said Andrew Chamberlain, chief economist at employment website Glassdoor. “The Fed pays attention to that.”
Paul Saginaw, co-founder of Zingerman’s, a mail order food store and deli based in Ann Arbor, Mich., says he thinks hiring has become more competitive in the past several years. The company, which has 740 permanent employees, is staffing up to open a new restaurant.
