Weather Eye: Two dry days before the weather takes a wet, chilly turn

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Patrick Timm

The leaves are changing colors this past week with less daylight and chilly temperatures. I was driving on Northeast 134th Street in Salmon Creek the other day, and the maples are a bright, glorious red color. Things are looking like October all of a sudden.

We’ll enjoy mostly dry weather today and Monday, and then we have a giant pool of cold unstable air mass over us through Saturday. That will bring us showers at times, snow down to the passes, maybe a foot or more at Timberline, and you may have to stoke the fire if you haven’t already this fall.

Forecast models show highs only in the 50s all week except tomorrow when we climb to 70 degrees or so. Beginning of the rainy season? Hard to tell but most indications point toward colder and wetter weather the last half of the month.

I discovered dozens of woolly bear caterpillars recently. The consensus is we are in for a chilly wet winter. Maybe like last year? Maybe snow? If La Nina stays in the picture, there’s a good chance of those things this winter. Not what you wanted to hear?

The Old Farmer’s Almanac is also predicting a cooler winter than normal with maybe lots of snow in the mountains. We will see if skiing season begins on Thanksgiving like last year. That day comes earlier this year on Nov. 23. We also lose more afternoon daylight hours with the return to standard time on Nov. 5.

Remembering last year at this time we had winds 25-35 mph and heavy rain here in Clark County. Winds along the Washington Coast were 50-60 mph, causing some damage.

Also, last October we had rain on 29 of the 31 days. It totaled 8.22 inches! At least we aren’t looking at a repeat of that in the rain department this year.

Take good care, and we will look at the rainy outlook further on Tuesday. Take advantage of today and Monday to get outdoor chores accomplished.


Patrick Timm is a local weather specialist. His column appears Tuesdays, Thursdays and Sundays. Reach him at http://patricktimm.com.