Two different metaphors help explain the budget predicament facing Washington legislators, and both make pretty good sense in their own ways. Although the two perspectives come from vastly different political ideologies, neither is automatically more accurate than the other.The Republican metaphor was presented last week by state Sen. Andy Hill, R-Redmond, chair of the Senate Ways and Means Committee. He described a 16-year-old daughter who drives to school and gets $25 a week for gas. She asks for an increase to $100, but the allowance is bumped up to only $30. Hill picks up the story: “She goes back to high school and says, ‘My dad cut my gas money by $70.’ That is a cut in Olympia,” by the current standards of many legislators.
The Democratic metaphor comes from state Rep. Ross Hunter, chair of the House Appropriations Committee. He described a person who receives a cost-of-living increase in salary, but sees a 10 percent increase in health insurance premiums. That same person also has a grandmother move in, and a baby arrives. Hunter’s point, explained in a Seattle Times story, is that “more people move into the state, health care costs go up and there’s inflation no matter what. In other words, simply maintaining the same level of state services costs more money.”
Both analyses seem reasonably correct, but that only complicates the budget shortfall projected last week by the state Economic and Revenue Forecast Council. The shortfall is growing. And, with the legislative session half over, lawmakers had better get crackin’ if they’re going to fix the problem.
The March economic projections, which are the most critical for state budget writers, show an increase to $1.2 billion in the revenue shortfall. Experts cite increased expenses (grandmothers moving in, babies arriving) as the main culprit.