Political voices on both sides of the Columbia River are striking a positive tone and avoiding past battles as they launch a second effort to replace the Interstate 5 Bridge.
Lurking beneath the veneer of tranquility are the same issues that polarized the region a decade ago: opposition to tolling, hostility toward light rail, support for a third Columbia River bridge, concerns about climate change, and a sneaking suspicion this $3 billion-plus megaproject will cost too much and deliver too little.
Nearly $200 million was spent on the Columbia River Crossing. The project achieved important milestones, including the federal government’s December 2011 decision that it had met the National Environmental Policy Act’s stringent provisions. Eighteen months later, the project fell apart when the Washington Senate failed to match Oregon’s $450 million contribution to launch construction.
The size and complexity of such a massive project can lead to its downfall.
“Most megaprojects don’t succeed,” said Aaron Shenhar, an international expert on project management and CEO of The SPLWIN Group in Verona, N.J. “If anybody starts a megaproject today, they must realize that their chances for success are as good as the statistics.”
Officials are optimistic a new set of local and state political leaders, coupled with mounting frustration over daily traffic jams and the potential to substitute bus rapid transit for light rail, will make the project’s reboot successful.
“What we know is the congestion has gotten significantly worse, the economy is being hampered, the bridge is still there and we have a significant need to replace it,” he said. “So if you can focus on the knowns and be reflective at the same time, I think that’s a good recipe.”
Carley Francis, Washington State Department of Transportation’s southwest regional administrator, is another veteran of the Columbia River Crossing. A planner by profession, Francis worked on the failed project for more than six years and served as its spokeswoman, answering media questions and helping disseminate information to those dubious of the project’s merits.
Today, Francis is working behind the scenes to lay the foundation for a second project that will build on previous work. She has met with each member of Clark County’s legislative delegation to establish and maintain communication lines in hopes of avoiding a second legislative defeat.
Francis is focused more on developing a plan for how to move forward, instead of pinpointing what will be built in bridge, freeway and transit elements.
“The ‘what’ is sticky and messy, so we have to do a good ‘how,’ ” she said.
Growth and congestion
The I-5 Bridge’s two spans opened in 1917 and 1958. The bridge started reaching capacity during weekday peak hours nearly 30 years ago, within a decade of the December 1982 opening of the Interstate 205 Bridge. The second bridge led to massive growth in Clark County, where the population increased by 45 percent during the 1990s.
Since the Columbia River Crossing ended in 2013, Clark County has added another 53,000 residents. During those six years, Vancouver’s population grew by almost 3,500 residents a year. Ridgefield, one of the fastest growing cities in Washington, has seen its population skyrocket by 60 percent since 2013.
“This community has changed tremendously,” McEnerny-Ogle said. “With or without the bridge, we are going to continue to grow. Ridgefield will continue to grow.”
More growth often means more congestion. About 135,000 vehicles a day use the I-5 Bridge. According to the Southwest Washington Regional Transportation Council, I-5 near the bridge is congested for 11 hours on weekdays, from 5:45 to 9:45 a.m. north of the river and from 1 to 8 p.m. south of the river. Traffic crawls at only 11 mph during peak congestion.
The I-5 Bridge is a traffic chokepoint in the Portland region. INRIX, a Kirkland-based traffic analytics firm that issues an annual traffic scorecard, ranked Portland as having the nation’s 10th worst congestion that costs drivers $1,625 a year in wasted time.
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The carefully worded letter stakes out general positions and a “must have” framework for moving the project forward, including:
• high-capacity transit, light rail and/or bus rapid transit.
• congestion pricing, or variable tolling that charges more during rush hour.
• facilities and connections for cyclists and pedestrians.
• features for autonomous vehicles and other emerging technologies.
The willingness of Oregon leaders to consider bus rapid transit caught McEnerny-Ogle’s attention.
“That jumped out at us,” she said. “With new leadership on both sides of the river, with new individuals, we need to take advantage of the new opportunities.”
Officials are charging forward, hoping to ride the current wave of positivity all the way to groundbreaking.
Many pitfalls are ahead, including financing. The second bridge effort is expected to rely on a similar approach as the Columbia River Crossing: one-third from the federal government, one-third from the two states and one-third from tolling.
McEnerny-Ogle said she believes the community is gradually accepting that tolling will be part of any future project.
“Everyone would like to have the federal government pay for this like they did on I-205,” she said. “Those days are long gone.”
“Every bridge and freeway under construction in the United States right now has tolling,” she added. “The government is not going to buy us a bridge. We are going to have that third leg on the stool.”
U.S. Rep. Peter DeFazio, D-Ore., is in a critical position to deliver federal money to the project as chairman of the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee. McEnerny-Ogle said she has met with DeFazio to discuss the new bridge project.
“He wants to replace the bridge,” she said. “He wants to make this work. He knows the importance of this, not just for congestion and for commuters but for safety and economics.”
U.S. Sen. Patty Murray, D-Wash., said she, too, supports moving ahead.
“This is a crucial project for families and commuters in Southwest Washington that will ease congestion throughout the area,” she said in a statement to The Columbian. “I’m glad our state leaders prioritized funding for the first steps in replacing the I-5 bridge in the state budget earlier this year, and as a voice for Washington state in the Senate, I’ll continue fighting in the other Washington to strengthen federal investments in our state’s infrastructure priorities and ensure residents on this side of the Columbia River have a seat at the table as this process moves forward.”
President Donald Trump came into office touting the importance of rebuilding the nation’s roads, bridges and airports, but every effort to launch “infrastructure week” gets quickly derailed by a presidential tweet storm on unrelated issues.
McEnerny-Ogle said her worst fear is “the federal government never does put money into infrastructure, that we are completely on our own.”
“I think that would be the deal killer,” she said.