Sunday, January 16, 2022
Jan. 16, 2022

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Weather Eye: Unusual warm weather may end soon

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I hope you are enjoying the pleasant warm weather with high temperatures that usually do not occur in late November. Vancouver set a record high Saturday with 62 degrees, inching out the 61 degrees set three years ago in 2018. Sunday we also reached 62 degrees, breaking the old record of 59 degrees set way back in 1907. We also had a new maximum low temperature Sunday with 51 degrees, surpassing the 49 degrees in 1899.

What this means is that we are having an unusual period of a persistent warm subtropical air mass. The outlook for December later this week is that we return to a more seasonable Gulf of Alaska polar maritime air mass typical for us during the winter months.

But wait. Not all forecast models want us to put our heavy jackets on quite yet. About half the forecast ensembles keep us mild into next week. Others cool us down by the weekend and even cooler next week, with highs in the 40s and lows in the 30s, which are typical for December. That would bring back snow to the mountains.

So, we wait and see which way nature is going to balance things for us. Eventually it will turn colder as predicted by the National Climate Center. And of course, we are in the midst of the La Nina episode so things must get their act together.

We surely lucked out over the weekend and didn’t get the excessive rains from that atmospheric river that pounded Northwest Washington and southern British Columbia where inches and inches of rain fell. Vancouver’s monthly total so far this month as of Monday afternoon stood at 6.66 inches, well above normal.

We will be more dry than wet the rest of the week with some occasional drizzle or showers. Mild temperatures but they should cool closer to normal by Friday. Rain amounts will be lighter than average.

Take good care and we’ll chat on Thursday and see about cooler weather.

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