Monday, February 6, 2023
Feb. 6, 2023

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Americans get first raise since ’07

2015 saw household income climb 5.2%; number in poverty falls

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WASHINGTON — In a long-awaited sign that middle-class Americans are finally seeing real economic gains, U.S. households got a raise last year after seven years of stagnant incomes. Rising pay also lifted the poorest households, cutting poverty by the sharpest amount in nearly a half-century.

Higher minimum wages in many states and tougher competition among businesses to fill jobs pushed up pay, while low inflation made those paychecks stretch further. The figures show that the growing economy is finally benefiting a greater share of American households.

The median U.S. household’s income rose 5.2 percent in 2015 to an inflation-adjusted level of $56,516, the Census Bureau said Tuesday. That is the largest one-year gain on data stretching back to 1967. It is up 7.3 percent from 2012, when incomes fell to a 17-year low.

Still, median incomes remain 1.6 below the $57,423 reached in 2007. The median is the point where half of households fall below and half are above.

The report “was superb in almost every dimension,” Larry Mishel, president of the liberal Economic Policy Institute, said on a conference call with reporters. “This one year almost single-handedly got us out of the hole.”

Local Angle

Local-level American Community Survey estimates for 2015, including for Clark County and Vancouver, will be made public on Thursday. The data covers a variety of topics including income, poverty, race and housing.

Even so, it follows years of tepid pay gains that contributed to widespread political turmoil, driving insurgent presidential candidacies from GOP nominee Donald Trump and Sen. Bernie Sanders. Median household income remains 2.4 percent below the peak it reached in 1999.

The solid gain will likely impact the presidential campaign. Incomes are now higher than in 2009 when President Barack Obama took office.

The Census report shows that the increase was driven by the poorest Americans, who saw the largest increase. Half of the states and Washington, D.C. have increased their minimum wages since 2014, according to the EPI.

Greater competition for low-wage jobs has also pushed up wages. The unemployment rate fell from 6.2 percent to 5.3 percent last year, and 2.4 million Americans found full-time, year-round jobs. That’s forced restaurants and retail employers to lift pay to attract workers.

Pay increases

WalMart, TJX Cos., which owns T.J. Maxx, and the Gap have all announced pay increases in the past two years. Starbucks said in July it would boost pay for all its employees by 5 percent later this year.

Income for the poorest 10 percent of households jumped 7.9 percent last year, while for the wealthiest 10 percent, incomes rose just 2.9 percent. That narrowed the gap between the two groups by the largest amount on record.

The proportion of Americans in poverty also fell sharply last year, to 13.5 percent from nearly 14.8 percent. That is the biggest decline in poverty since 1968. There were 43.1 million people in poverty last year, 3.5 million fewer than in 2014.

Other measures of inequality changed little, however. The gap between the wealthiest 5 percent of Americans and those right in the middle barely shrank and is wider than it was before the recession.

Another factor fueling the big gain was very low inflation: Consumer prices rose just 0.1 percent, held down by plummeting oil and gas costs. That was the smallest increase since 2009, when consumer prices fell.

Low inflation provided an important boost: A typical price increase of around 2 percent would have reduced last year’s earnings gain to roughly 3 percent, rather than 5.2 percent.

Gas prices have recovered a bit and inflation is running closer to 1 percent this year, so that trend is unlikely to be sustained.

Still, most economists expect paychecks will keep rising this year and finally return Americans to pre-recession levels of income.

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