WASHINGTON — Short of votes for their health care bill, Republican congressional leaders turned to President Donald Trump on Thursday to wrangle support for the divisive legislation they hope to push through Congress before Easter.
But Trump sounded more like he was at the start of a negotiation than ready to close the deal. And combined with opposition from Republicans of all stripes, the president’s flexible stance suggested final passage of the bill could be delayed, potentially exposing the legislation to the same kind of extended public backlash that undermined former President Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act from the start.
“It’s very preliminary,” the president said of the House GOP bill in a Fox News Channel interview Wednesday, when questioned about reports the legislation would help Democratic voters more than those who elected him. “A lot of things aren’t consistent. But these are going to be negotiated. … We will take care of our people or I’m not signing it, OK, just so you understand.”
Meanwhile, the House Budget Committee voted Thursday to narrowly advance the troubled Republican health bill, with defections by three GOP conservatives underscoring the obstacles party leaders face in maneuvering to avoid a stinging setback to their showpiece legislation after seven years of promises to repeal and replace “Obamacare.”
The House GOP bill repeals elements of that law, including the “individual mandate” that penalizes people who don’t have insurance. It sets up a new system of tax credits that is less generous, particularly to older Americans. It eliminates some of Obamacare’s requirements for services health plans need to cover, and it sunsets an expansion of Medicaid over several years, an element causing great consternation with moderate-leaning Republicans but one that conservatives want to move up faster.
The bill also cuts a slew of taxes, mostly to the benefit of the rich. Conservatives also say it doesn’t go far enough in repealing the Obama-era law in full.
House conservatives say they are negotiating changes directly with the White House, cutting out Speaker Paul Ryan and the rest of the House GOP leadership, while rebellious GOP senators were stoking the opposition.
GOP Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky met with House Freedom Caucus members Wednesday night, handing out copies of Trump’s book “The Art of the Deal” along with a handout highlighting take-aways from the book that could be applied to the health care debate.
One lesson from the book, according to Paul’s summary, is to “protect your downside,” leading him to instruct House conservatives: “Don’t go along with Obamacare Lite — a bill that will fail in the Senate. Don’t put your name on OBAMACARE LITE. As the markets collapse, you will be blamed.”
Nevertheless, Ryan tried to strike an optimistic tone as he addressed reporters Thursday for his weekly press briefing.
“We feel like we’re making great strides and great progress on getting a bill that can pass,” Ryan said.
But Ryan did not commit to a timetable for passage, and his acknowledgment that the bill needs changes to pass was itself a change. Last week, Ryan was pledging action next week by the House Rules Committee — the precursor to a floor vote — and confidently predicting the bill would have the votes to pass.
Instead, Ryan spent part of his news conference disputing suggestions that he and Trump are at odds over the health bill, rumblings that originate with Ryan’s very reluctant support for Trump during the presidential campaign.
“There is no intrigue, palace intrigue, divisions between the principals … there really is no schism whatsoever,” Ryan insisted. “I’m excited at the fact that we have a president who likes closing deals. We’ve got a president who thinks bold, thinks big, wants to act, and wants to get us to the finish line. And he’s being very constructive in doing that.”
An analysis Monday by the Congressional Budget Office found that 24 million people would lose insurance over a decade under the GOP plan. The figure startled some rank-and-file Republicans, even though the analysis also found the GOP bill would reduce the deficit and modestly decrease premiums for younger Americans beginning in 2020, though they would rise sharply first.
By many accounts Trump has been closely involved in negotiations on the health bill, including calling Budget Committee members ahead of Thursday’s vote, but he is seen as focused on delivering his “repeal and replace” promise and flexible on the fine print.
Speaking to reporters on Air Force One Wednesday night, Trump said he expected to get a health care bill through, adding: “It’s going to get all mixed up and we’re going to come up with something. We always do.”
Failing to pass a bill while his party controls both the House and Senate would be a devastating blow to his party and the premise of his presidency — that he was a dealmaker the country needed.
