If I had to bet on the likeliest survivors of a killer asteroid striking earth, they’d be cockroaches and American political parties. However, Donald Trump lost the popular vote twice and only once in the past 30 years have more Americans voted for a Republican president. So is the Grand Old Party dying?
To begin with, Democrats have won the women’s vote since 1992. Also, the white population in the U.S. has been declining since 1996 while non-white voter turnout for Democrats is increasing. This trend is particularly notable in battleground states.
Finally, the GOP’s millennial problem runs deep. Born between 1981 and 1996, this generation saw Clinton’s peace and prosperity and Bush’s failed wars and economic collapse. They took advantage of Obamacare and watched Trump coast into the fourth quarter of Obama’s already strong economy and claim he won the game. Now they’re witnessing Trump’s family separation policy and pandemic breadlines.
Millennials and younger Generation Z are the most liberal generations in the history of opinion polling. When it comes to presidential elections, Republicans may limp along for a while fueled by their dislike of Democrats. But unless they can completely reinvent themselves, they are ultimately destined for the scrap heap of history.