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News / Opinion / Columns

Donnelly: Restore partnership with NW Natural gas

By Ann Donnelly
Published: April 2, 2023, 6:01am

The Vancouver City Council on Dec. 5 approved its Climate Action Plan, a 90-component program exceeding the Paris climate accord in the city’s goal to reduce 73 percent of community and municipal emissions by 2030. It was amended to remove NW Natural gas as a partner in the plan, over the objections of gas industry representatives.

Such a confrontational move aimed at our local gas distributor may have unintended consequences, signaling to potential new businesses to take their economic development to less authoritarian cities such as Camas, Ridgefield or Battle Ground, where similar plans are not in the works. And it will likely signal to NW Natural, founded in 1859 and granted an exclusive franchise in exchange for reliable service and reasonable rates, to tamp back on investments here, including for pragmatic decarbonization solutions such as biofuels.

For national context, many liberal-voting cities are directly limiting future use of fossil fuels, including Eugene and Salem, Ore., Boulder, Colo., San Francisco and Oakland, Calif. Their rules and ordinances variously ban new natural gas hookups, prohibit new natural gas appliances or ban new gasoline stations. Eugene enacted its rules despite a study showing they would only reduce residential emissions by one-tenth of 1 percent by 2037, and total emissions by less than 2 percent.

In November, Washington’s Building Code Council adopted rules “effectively banning natural gas or propane use in the home,” according to a lawsuit from building industry groups. The lawsuit contends the Legislature should have been consulted, and that the rule “interferes with commercial and consumer energy choice, unnecessarily increasing the cost of homebuilding.” Furthermore, these statewide rules add to the new state carbon dioxide cap and trade system that took effect this year already incentivizing decarbonization.

Regulations and costs are thus pancaked in layers. Vancouver’s published “Roadmap” graphic, “Our pathway to carbon neutrality by 2040,” illustrates that the majority of estimated emissions reductions are already addressed through federal and state policies.

Our community needs NW Natural now and will for decades, according to current independent studies. More than two-thirds of households in the West — 74 percent, according to the Energy Information Administration — use natural gas, including 64 percent for space heating, 60 percent for hot-water heating and 50 percent for cooking.

Looking to the future, we will need our gas utilities and producers at least through 2050, according to the just-released Energy Information Administration Annual Energy Outlook 2023. To generate energy in 2050, renewables are forecast to exceed other sources, but natural gas — a firm, not intermittent resource — continues in strong second place. In 2030, EIA projects natural gas to supply 21 percent of power generation, and in 2050, 19 percent.

With Washington’s electricity needs expected to double by 2050, the state Department of Commerce projects we will become dependent on imports from other states for electricity supplies. Will they be available on peak days and at what cost? That should be a concern for Vancouver.

We largely do not know the costs or timing of replacing fossil fuels, including rebuilding our transmission and distribution systems. But we do know that many Americans have exhausted their savings and credit in recent months. According to Fidelity’s 2023 Retirement Savings Assessment, most Americans are falling short of basic expenses in retirement. So steep increases in electricity or other energy rates will create economic hardships.

No energy resource is perfect. Both renewables and natural gas are essential. The city council should restore our gas utility to partnership.

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